AI and the great cashflow transfer. The mining boom that drove the Australian economy. Psychopatriarchy & the caes…
Summary
This Chartbook instalment is a collage rather than a single argument, and its most useful frame is the first: the AI boom can be read as a huge cash flow transfer from the hyperscalers to the manufacturers of chips. Tooze pairs that with Australia's mining boom of the 2000s and into the 2010s, presented as a huge driver of national growth driven by an export surge and commodity prices, inviting a comparison with today's chip-driven wave. The issue then quotes at length a Guardian essay on psychopatriarchy, described as jet fuel to racism, colonialism, imperialism and capitalism, which is polemic rather than evidence.
Highlights
One way of thinking about the AI boom is as a huge cash flow transfer from the hyperscalers to the manufacturers of chips.
Australia’s mining boom of the 2000s and into the 2010s was a huge driver of national economic growth.
Psychopatriarchy is jet fuel to all the other -isms: racism, colonialism, imperialism, capitalism.
Contrarian Viewpoints
- The cash-flow-transfer frame shows who receives hyperscaler spending, but not whether chip makers' margins last or who ultimately bears the financing risk.
- The mining-boom analogy is suggestive, not quantified, and the long quoted essay on psychopatriarchy adds rhetoric rather than a testable claim.
Investment Implications
- Overweight semiconductor manufacturers as the direct recipients of hyperscaler AI capex, while monitoring whether that spending is funded sustainably.